Polls and Graphs

In order to provide transparent analysis you can view our entire database of polls used in our calculations. The poll database is updated each day with the most current polls from a variety of sources. Our current collection is largely concentrated with Democratic Nomination and Presidential Election polls but there is still a decent collection of Republican Nomination Polls. The projection methodology for poll weight and selection depends on the election.

For the Democratic Nomination there is no vote count provided for Iowa, Nevada, Washington, Maine so the percent of delegates garnered is used in place. Only vote totals provided by either the races secretary of state or the races own Democratic Party are considered. A -1 denotes unpublished official vote data. The National race uses the projected delegate values based on polls for each race, not the projected values based on national polls alone.

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Race: Election: Dem:
PollsterEndDateAllen (D)Collins (R)Other
Rasmussen Reports 11/1/2008 41572
YouGov, Polimetrix (D) 11/1/2008 355510
Market Decisions 10/27/2008 36.6549.4
SurveyUSA 10/20/2008 43543
Critical Insights 10/19/2008 42544
Pan Atlantic SMS Group 10/16/2008 36577
Research 2000, DailyKos (D) 10/15/2008 40537
Mellman, DSCC (D) 10/2/2008 414910
Rasmussen Reports 10/2/2008 43534
SurveyUSA 9/23/2008 39556
Rasmussen Reports 9/17/2008 42553
Research 2000, DailyKos (D) 9/10/2008 38575
Rasmussen Reports 8/12/2008 40555
Rasmussen Reports 7/17/2008 43534
Critical Insights 6/27/2008 405010
Pan Atlantic SMS Group 6/18/2008 315613
Rasmussen Reports 6/16/2008 42499
POS, U.S. Chamber of Commerce (R) 5/15/2008 41554
Rasmussen Reports 5/14/2008 42526
Employee Freedom Action Committee 5/5/2008 375310
Rasmussen Reports 4/1/2008 38548
McLaughlin (R) 3/9/2008 315415
Critical Insights 10/30/2007 345412
SurveyUSA 10/29/2007 38557
Research 2000, DailyKos (D) 10/17/2007 335611
Critical Insights 4/27/2007 325711

Electoral College Projection Map
Senate Projection Map