Polls and Graphs

In order to provide transparent analysis you can view our entire database of polls used in our calculations. The poll database is updated each day with the most current polls from a variety of sources. Our current collection is largely concentrated with Democratic Nomination and Presidential Election polls but there is still a decent collection of Republican Nomination Polls. The projection methodology for poll weight and selection depends on the election.

For the Democratic Nomination there is no vote count provided for Iowa, Nevada, Washington, Maine so the percent of delegates garnered is used in place. Only vote totals provided by either the races secretary of state or the races own Democratic Party are considered. A -1 denotes unpublished official vote data. The National race uses the projected delegate values based on polls for each race, not the projected values based on national polls alone.

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Race: Election: Dem:
PollsterEndDateMerkley (D)Smith (R)Other
YouGov, Polimetrix (D) 11/1/2008 444313
Rasmussen Reports 10/30/2008 49465
Public Policy Polling (D) 10/30/2008 51436
Research 2000, DailyKos (D) 10/29/2008 484210
Moore Information (R) 10/28/2008 414514
SurveyUSA 10/26/2008 49429
Portland Tribune, Fox 12 10/25/2008 454015
Riley Research 10/20/2008 363529
Research 2000, DailyKos (D) 10/16/2008 474112
SurveyUSA 10/12/2008 464212
Grove Insight (D) 10/9/2008 413623
Research 2000, DailyKos (D) 9/24/2008 454015
SurveyUSA 9/23/2008 444214
Rasmussen Reports 9/15/2008 45469
Rasmussen Reports 9/14/2008 47476
Portland Tribune 9/14/2008 363727
Benenson (D) 9/9/2008 434116
Benenson (D) 8/15/2008 384715
Rasmussen Reports 8/7/2008 44506
SurveyUSA 8/4/2008 374914
Rasmussen Reports 7/14/2008 46468
Zogby Interactive (D) 6/30/2008 382933
Benenson (D) 6/15/2008 384814
Rasmussen Reports 6/11/2008 384715
POS, U.S. Chamber of Commerce (R) 5/29/2008 343828
Feldman, DSCC (D) 5/16/2008 424513
Rasmussen Reports 5/7/2008 424513
Rasmussen Reports 3/26/2008 344719
Rasmussen Reports 2/13/2008 304822
Riley Research 12/12/2007 123949
SurveyUSA 10/28/2007 394813
Riley Research 8/15/2007 193843
Lake Research (D) 7/11/2007 254926

Electoral College Projection Map
Senate Projection Map